9. 11. 2011. The 22-year-old German Poker professional Pius Heinz managed to beat Czech Martin Staszko (35) in the final of the WSOP Main Event that took place in the hotel complex Rio, Las Vegas. After several hours of play and alternate chip leadership Heinz beat Staszko who eliminated the American player Ben Lamb.
The battle for the championship title was the culmination of the Main Event of the World Series Of Poker (WSOP). The way to the final table meant to beat over 6,800 opponents. Pius Heinz is a Poker professional. Martin Staszko has been playing Poker for four years and as a professional since May last year. Let us have a look at the final hand and its analysis.
Texas Hold'em: Staszko with the cards goes All-in, Heinz holds . Number of chips: Stazsko 39.5M, Heinz 166.1M (4times more). The German accepts the challenge and calls. The pot counts 79.6M, which would get Staszko back to the game if he won. The situation and chance to win before the Flop is the following. Pius Heinz keeps better winning chances:
After the Flop:
After the Turn or before the River:
We can see that from a strict mathematical point of view Pius Heinz has a better winning chances, namely in the ratio
77%:23%. How do we count this? Martin Staszko could have beaten his opponent only if the River card was the one of the following ten cards (
Now if you compare these 10 outs with the number of cards remaining in the deck, we will find out Staszko's chance to win. There are 52 cards in total in the deck. Let us first deduct the cards that we can see at the board, i.e. 10-7 (Staszko's 2 cards), 5-2-9-J (Flop & Turn) and finally A-K (2 cards of Heinz):
52 – 2 – 4 – 2 = 44 remaining cards in the deck. The probability for Martin Staszko to win is then
10 / 44 = 0,2273 = 23% and the winning chance of Pius Heinz can be calculated easily as a supplement
100% – 23% = 77%.
Unfortunately for Martin Staszko the miracle did not happen and one of the 34 losing cards (44 – 10 = 34 cards played for the German), namely the Four of Diamond, appeared on the board as the River card and Pius Heinz becomes the 2011 World Poker champion:
1st Pius Heinz
2nd Martin Staszko
3rd Ben Lam
The overall prize pool counted $64,351,000. Even the 9th player, Sam Holden, took a respectable win $782,115. Congratulations to the winners!